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Friday, 15 March 2013

Personal Attack: Is it a sure way to Win or Loose Election?



I have somewhat faint memory of Uttar Pradesh elections in late fifties. My father was posted in Lucknow. I was about 7-8 years then. The election was fun to all children of our locality. 2-3 election processions were passing our locality daily at the peak time of election. I don't remember who were candidates. I also don't remember names of political parties fighting election. But I remember Congress party fully well because its  procession used to have a pair of well decorated & well fed Bulls then being symbol of Congress Party. C.B. Gupta must have been a powerful leader of Congress party those days though he became Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh in 1960. I remember his name due to funny reason. How it was funny? Whenever opposition parties use to take election processions they would chant a slogan "गली-गली में शोर है, सी .बी. गुप्ता चोर है" (There is noise all over, CB Gupta is thief). The slogan was very catchy & soon it became darling of all children of locality. Whenever we see any vehicle coming we start shouting "गली-गली में शोर है, सी .बी. गुप्ता चोर है". This might be first instance of personal attack on any leader because those days politic was not that much dirty. People use to avoid personal attacks & shun themselves in labeling baseless personal allegations. Result: C.B. Gupta won the election.
After this election, I don't have much remembrance of elections up to 1971 general elections for 5th Lok Sabha. General Elections 1971 were observed by Indian public with great interest. Those were the days when Indira Gandhi broke away from famous Congress Party’s syndicate known as "Famous Four". In July-1969 she nationalized Banks & also she won Bangladesh war with great precision to much to joy of all Indian public irrespective of class & cread. Cutting across political line,  Atal Bihari Bajpai called her "Durga". She was darling to Indian public but a bitter foe to her rivals. During this election many personal allegations were leveled against her including a slogan "Indira Hatao, Desh Bachao"(Remove Indira & Save country). Rivals called her by names. Called her as "वो औरत" (That Woman) & what not. She gave a simple slogan "Galibi Hatao"(Remove poverty). She play victim before public  & countered her rivals with a simple appeal "वो कहते है इंदिरा हटाओ, मैं कहती हूँ गरीबी हटाओ"(They say remove Indira, I say remove poverty). She was careful enough not to go personal against her rivals. Result: She returned Congress Party with 352 seats with marked improvement from her party's poor show of 283 in previous elections in 1969.
Then came famous general elections of 1977 after Ms. Gandhi lifted emergency. During emergency all most all opposition leaders were imprisoned & tortured. Even during this election, many of them were labeled as CIA agents including many more personal nature attacks/allegations were labeled on them. Ms. Gandhi forgot that it was personal attacks on her which helped her to won 1971 elections with thumping majority but she let her overzealous party men to adopt this tactic. Result: Congress Party was rooted out & got only 153 seats by loosing about 199 seats. She lost personally too which was unthinkable.
During Janata Raj, the ruling clan went after Indira Gandhi & her family. They labeled different kind of personal allegations against Indira Gandhi & Sanjay Gandhi which resulted in their loss in next general elections. Indira came back with thump.  ResultIndira Gandhi won the election with huge majority getting 351 seats.
There are many instances of personal attacks during elections and results remain the same. I will give 2-3 more instances to prove my point.
Let us remember 2004 elections. Though NDA was riding high on good performance of its rule but seeing over active Sonia Gandhi they went personal against her calling her "विदेशी महिला" & suggested something fishing in her foreign connection resulting shunting NDA defeat. Perhaps even Sonia Gandhi never dreamed winning that general election.  ResultSonia Gandhi won the election.
In  2009 general elections L.K. Advani went personal against Manmohan Singh calling him as weakest Prime Minister India ever had. Nearly whole NDA again went personal against Sonia Gandhi, Rahul Gandhi & Manmohan Singh & paid price by loosing elections again. ResultCongress Party won the elections.
In 2007 Gujrat Elections, Sonia Gandhi erred in calling Narendra Modi as "मौत का सौदागर". Her other colleagues, personal & through paid media, cornered him on 2002 riots & paid price dearly. Modi again won handsomely. In 2012 Gujrat elections, Sonia Gandhi was careful enough not to repeat the same mistake but she did not for forbid her colleagues in repeating the same mistake. Other senior members of UPA tried to corner Modi in 2002 riots again personally & through paid media. Some called him even Monkey. Modi stuck to his line of "Development" and again won election with huge margin much to chagrin to UPA leadership. ResultOn both occasions Modi won the elections.
What is moral of this essay? "Personal attacks boomeranged on those who indulged such practice during elections." 
Reason: Elections are not won by votes of the hardcore supporters but by the votes of general public. Though Indian Public tends shows sympathies with person against whom personal allegations are labeled but this is not sole reason for voting in his favor. They know that those, who are indulging in personal attacks against opponents, don’t have any road map to remove general public problems, social disparity, social injustice etc. In fact they don't have any solutions to the problems public faces on daily basis. Moreover they know these talks would vain away once elections are over. They also know that those, who talk about solutions to general public problems, would do something for them once they won elections. So maximum votes goes to the person who normally does not indulge in personal allegations & against whom personal allegations are labeled but stick to his line of action
General election 2014 is very near. Lots of personal & general exposes would come or coming to light. This trend is showing its tail specially on Social Media. Main media is also starting it by & by. Most personal allegations may be wild in nature mingling personal images of the candidates. I am sure lots of mudslinging shall be done during this bloody general election. Some would bring Secular issues, some would try to galvanize Hindus in name of Mandir, some will polarise Muslims in name of violations of minority rights. Mostly all would go for personal nature things. I don't know how far my analysis is correct but I believe that the Party, who don't go personal against contesting candidates/parties & but stick to its road map, will win this election. The Tiwaris, Togarias, Owaisis etc may prove biggest spoilers for their parties chances in coming elections.
My advice to all political parties & their candidates is that (1) Don’t bring personal issues/allegations (2) Bring real issues before the public (3) Tell them what would you do to minimize their suffering. Them let public decide to whom they vote. I am sure fellow countrymen & political parties that those who do it will be winner. 
Jai Hind